Research points to victory of the opposition and fall of Netanyahu

by Marcelo Moreira

A research conducted by the Maariv and disclosed by Jerusalem Post On Friday (1), he pointed out that the next Israeli election could define a new prime minister, resulting in the fall of Netanyahu. This is because the opposition, led by Naftali Bennett, would reach 61 chairs in the Knesset, the Parliament of Israel, reaching the majority necessary to form a government. Likud’s current ruling coalition would get a total of 49.

Bennett has been a prime minister for just over one year, between June 2021 and the same period of the following year. The religious and right -wing politician has been co -founder of the “New Right” party since 2018. Before, between 2012 and 2018, he was at the head of the Lar Jewish religious Zionist party.

The survey indicates that Bennett attracts the indecisive, both who were voters of their base and Likud himself. In a more positive scenario for the current opposition, Bennett’s coalition could reach 66 seats while the government would reach 44. Arab parties would follow the same 10 seats they have in the current administration.

The next election will be in October next year and can be anticipated if the government loses the support of half of Parliament. Currently, Netanyahu faces a crisis with religious due to disagreements related to the project that exempts young religious from military service.

Last month, Torah’s United Ultra -Orthodox Party announced its departure from the coalition, leaving the government with 61 seats – the exact number needed to keep the majority in the knesset, which has 120 chairs.

Shortly thereafter, another ultra orthodox party, Shars announced that it would leave the government in the executive part, that is, folders and ministries but would continue to vote with the coalition, ensuring the ruling survival.

Half of the population wants the end of the war

The survey also questioned the Israelis about the current scenario of the War in Gaza, which began by the terrorist group Hamas on October 7, 2023, when in an unprecedented attack, the terrorists murdered almost 1,200 civilians.

Half of the interviewees were favorable to a comprehensive agreement involving the release of all hostages in exchange for a ceasefire and Israeli withdrawal from Gaza. However, 38% supported the continuation of the military campaign to attach parts of Gaza until the collapse of Hamas, and 12% had no opinion formed.

An important contrast: among Netanyahu coalition voters, 73% supported the continuity of the military campaign, while 79% of opposition voters supported a comprehensive agreement, even with potential concessions.

Regarding recent international organ campaigns that accuse the Israeli government of promoting hunger at Enclave, 47% of Israelis said they believed that there is no crisis and that news is Hamas propaganda.

Another 41% said the crisis is real – of these, 23% expressed concern, while 18% did not. Another 12% were unsure.

The contrast between coalition and opposition voters also demonstrates clarity in the topic of hunger: 77% of coalition voters believe that the hunger crisis is invented, while 59% of opposition voters believe it is real. Among them, 38% said they care and 21% said no.

Traveling in Europe is the subject of concern

A red alert presented by the Israelis is demonstrated through increasing anti-Semitism in Europe, mostly instigated by pro-passion and pro-Hamas groups: 61% of respondents said Temer damage while traveling through Europe simply because they were Israeli.

Another 31% said they were not worried, while 8% were unsure. On this issue, there was wide consensus throughout the political spectrum: 64% of coalition and opposition voters expressed the same fear.

The survey was led by researcher Dr. Menachem Lazar, being held July 30 and 31, with a maximum sample error of 4.4%. 511 people were interviewed, which, according to the organizers, is a representative sample of the adult population of Israel, 18 years or older.

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