Lula ignored by Trump? Understand the difficulty of the government to negotiate tariffs with the US

by Marcelo Moreira

Valdo: Trump did not authorize White House dialogue with Brazil President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT) complained this week of President Donald Trump’s lack of willingness to negotiate 50% tariff imposed by the United States to Brazilian products – expected to take effect on August 1. Lula said on Thursday that the Republican “does not want to talk” about the tariff and said that Brazil is willing to advance in negotiations, as long as the US is also interested. 📱 Bake the G1 app to see real -time news and for free to break into interlocutors, Lula also complained, a day earlier, from the lack of a direct negotiation channel with Trump. The petista reported that although there are conversations at the diplomatic level, they do not reach the White House. The order not to dialogue with Brazil was given directly by the Republican, revealed the Valdo Cruz Blog. On Friday (25), a senator commission embarked to the US to try to open a dealing front, one week from the beginning of the new tariff. Experts heard by the G1 state that communication channels between Brazil and the US, in fact, are not effective – which maintains the negotiations locked. For them, one of the major obstacles is American trade policy, which has been shaped by a strong geopolitical bias under Trump. In practice, tariff decisions depart directly from the republican management summit, overshadowing, for example, technical teams of diplomacy and the Office of the US Commerce Representative (USTR) – making negotiation even harder. In addition, there are other interests involved, such as the dispute by influence with China in South America, says USP’s international strategy analysis group coordinator Alberto Pfeifer. This week, the US interest in Brazilian rare lands also came out. (Understand below) Read in this report: Trunched communication between US and Brazil how China’s presence influences strategic mineral geopolitical game are on the radar because the pressure of entrepreneurs may be the way out ‘he does not want to talk’, says Lula about Trump’s position in the tariff between US and Brazil, Professor Amâncio Jorge de Oliveira, from the USP International Relations Institute, sees the scenario with pessimism. He states that connections and dialogues are “very closed”, which has prevented the advancement of negotiations between Brazil and the US, including the diplomatic field. “The isolation, in fact, exists. It is the result of a number of factors, including the absence, since Trump’s inauguration, an initiative of the Brazilian government to open a channel of diplomatic dialogue. This, added to other elements, led to the current removal scenario,” he says. For political risk analyst Leandro Lima, professor at the FGV International School of International Relations, the ineffectiveness in communication is not exactly a Brazilian incompetence, but how the US has formulated its commercial policy. He points out that the key decision is the White House. That is, technical teams, such as diplomacy and UTR (Office of the Representative of Commerce), have been overshadowed by direct decisions of the government’s summit, usually geopolitical. “So, due to the way US commercial policy has been formulated, Brazil has faced great difficulties to access key decision makers,” says Lima. This week, Vice President Geraldo Alckmin (PSB) said he had a 50-minute conversation with US Secretary of Commerce, Howard Lutnick. According to him, Brazil officially reported that it is interested in negotiating the 50%rate. Alckmin did not detail the conversation, but said President Lula has advised the negotiation not to suffer political or ideological contamination, and focus on the search for a solution to the commercial issue. Alberto Pfeifer, from USP, states that the Brazilian state has “very qualified paintings” for the negotiations, but follows a direction of foreign policy that “misrepresents the Brazilian potential”. He also classified as “pathetic” the decision to send a delegation of senators to the US. “The ideas are so pathetic. Sending delegation of senator, entrepreneur delegation, to talk to whom, about what? There is no coordinated, consolidated view of containment of damage, possible bargains, possibilities, proposition. “[É um equívoco] To think Trump is open to a win-win negotiation or something. There is no winning win for Trump. For him, it is “I win and I earn again”. And if you lose, your problem, “he adds. José Luiz Pimenta, an international trade expert and director of BMJ Consultoria, recalls that the US maintains a solid partnership with Brazil. He evaluates, however, that” lacking technical and strategic deepening on how to align important topics for both countries. ” Brazil, not even with former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL), but with China, with whom he wages a dispute for influence and hegemony in South America. “Brazil is a piece in the global scenario of interest in two parts that are in a hegemonic dispute: China and USA,” says the expert. ” In a region with access to oceans, crucial logistics routes and important airspace for satellites. On July 9, justifying the increase in the tariff over Brazil, Trump quoted Jair Bolsonaro (PL) and classified as “international shame” the judgment of the former president in the Supreme Court (STF). Trump was clear at first: he does not want to negotiate – which also helps to explain the difficulty of communication of the Brazilian government. “When Trump lies the reversal of the process in the Supreme Court – somewhat unenforceable, by facing national sovereignty, the self -determination of Brazil and the democratic and republican structure of the state – it is because there is no room for negotiation,” he says. ” Higher fare, even without economic or commercial motivation, as with other countries. This also establishes a non -negotiation pattern. The point is that Trump is not concerned about Bolsonaro, but with China, “he adds. Back to the index. After the tariff blackmail, they warn that they want minerals found in Brazil Strategic Minerals are in the radar the president of the Brazilian Mining Institute (IBRAM), Raul Jungmann, said on Thursday (24) that the US embassy business in Brazil, Gabriel Escobar, expressed the Interest of the US government in critical and strategic minerals (MCES) of Brazil. Critical and strategic minerals have a central role in the current economy and transformations of the future. Last months, for example, the US has signed agreements with Ukraine and China about these materials. Brazil has the second largest reserve in the world, behind only the Asian country. From the energy transition and the technological race between the US and China, the pressure on these supply chains continues to grow. Index. Because the pressure of businessmen can be Professor Amâncio Jorge de Oliveira, from the USP Institute of International Relations, evaluates that the pressure and mobilization of the business sector can be an alternative to facing the tariffs imposed by Trump. In the country. “The idea would be to show potential losses to the US – not only to Brazil, but especially for the US – in order to sensitize and try to reverse this measure,” says Oliveira. ” But nothing indicates that the Brazilian government will go to this stage without first checking what should happen on August 1st, “he adds. José Luiz Pimenta, from BMJ Consultoria, also considers that the path involves the pressure of the private sector to show the harm caused by the tariff increase, such as the high inflation in the US.” Producers involvement such as coffee, orange juice, aircraft is necessary to involve the involvement of producers, aircraft, aircraft, aircraft juice, aircraft [caso da Embraer]Madeira, among others, “says Pimenta, remembered some of the most exported items in Brazil to the US. Although Trump claims commercial disadvantage by announcing its tariff, Brazil records commercial deficits with the US since 2009 – that is, it means that the country has spent more on imports than exports, which cancels the justification. Munoz/Reuters; Ricardo Stuckert/Disclosure via Reuters

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