President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) appears in a technical tie with senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) and with the governor of São Paulo, Tarcísio de Freitas (Republicans), in possible second-round disputes in the 2026 election, according to a survey by the Paraná Pesquisas institute released this Thursday (29). In total, 2,080 voters were interviewed between January 25th and 28th. The margin of error is 2.2 percentage points, plus or minus.
In the scenario against Flávio Bolsonaro, Lula registers 44.8% of voting intentions, while the senator appears with 42.2%. Whites and nulls total 8.3%, and 4.7% of those interviewed said they did not know who to vote for.
In a dispute with Tarcísio de Freitas, Lula has 43.9% of voting intentions, compared to 42.5% for the São Paulo governor. In this section, 9.1% would vote blank or null, and 4.6% did not know how to answer.
Against the governor of Paraná, Ratinho Júnior (PSD), Lula appears ahead, with 44.7% of the votes, against 38.9%. Blanks and nulls total 11.4%, while 5% did not know how to give their opinion.
