Tesla profits pulled down by falling EV sales and regulatory credits

by Marcelo Moreira

Falling EV sales combined with a lower average selling price, less cash from regulatory credits, and a decline in solar and energy storage revenue took a toll on Tesla’s bottom line in the second quarter of 2025. And a 17% growth in revenue in its services business, which includes capital generated from its Supercharging network, wasn’t enough to close the gap.

The company reported Wednesday revenue of $22.5 billiona 12% decline from the same period last year. The company’s Q2 revenue results did show an improvement over the first quarter when it generated $19.3 billion in revenue and did manage to just barely beat analysts expectations. (Analysts polled by Yahoo finance expected revenue in the second quarter to reach $22.13 billion.)

However, net income, and more specifically operating income, is where the year-over-year gap grows larger.

Tesla reported net income of $1.17 billion in the second quarter, a 16% drop from the $1.4 billion in net income in the same period last year. Tesla reported $409 million in net income in Q1 2025 in the first quarter of the year.

Meanwhile, Tesla’s operating income fell 42% year-over-year to $923 million.

While Tesla noted pressure from an “uncertain macroeconomic environment resulting from shifting tariffs” and “unclear impacts from changes to fiscal policy and political sentiment,” the company tried to position the results as a turning point in its focus, and future.

“Q2 2025 was a seminal point in Tesla’s history: the beginning of our transition from leading the electric vehicle and renewable energy industries to also becoming a leader in AI, robotics and related services,” the company said in its shareholder letter.

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The future Tesla is betting on has yet to deliver the kind of revenue its automotive sector has. Or any revenue, at all. Today, Tesla’s push into robotics, AI, and robotaxis is an expense, not a profit driver.

Tesla’s earnings are largely a reflection of falling EV sales — although fewer regulatory credits also played a role. The company brought in $439 million in regulatory credits in the second quarter, a 50% drop since the same period last year.

Regulatory credits have provided a consistent stream of revenue, and in some cases, have helped push the company’s bottom line into the black. For instance, Tesla’s income in the first quarter was boosted by selling $595 million in zero-emissions tax credits. Without those, it would have posted a loss.

And the days of regulatory credits are quickly coming to an end. The 2025 Budget Reconciliation Act that was signed into law July 4 essentially devalues the marketplace, in which automakers facing penalties under the Corporate Average Fuel Economy standards would buy zero-emissions credits from manufacturers building and selling EVs. The budget bill changed the penalties for violating CAFE standards to $0.

Earlier this month, Tesla said it delivered 384,122 vehicles in the second quarter of this year, a 13.5% drop from the same period in 2024. Second-quarter sales were an improvement over the first quarter, however, when the company delivered 337,000 vehicles.

Meanwhile, Tesla is facing regulatory and legal pressures that could further undermine its effort to reboot sales.

The California Department of Motor Vehicles is arguing in a hearing that kicked off Monday that Tesla should lose its license to sell vehicles in the state over false advertising claims on its branded Autopilot and Full Self-Driving advanced driver assistance systems.

Meanwhile, a civil lawsuit is playing out in a Florida courtroom over a fatal 2019 crash in which a Tesla driver using Autopilot plowed through an intersection and struck two people. The case, which will allow a jury to consider punitive damages, centers on how Autopilot is advertised to its customers.

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